Wednesday, April 2, 2025

LABOUR’S ‘JAW DROPPING ‘ LACK OF INFLUENCE

Plaid Cymru have accused the First Minister of having no influence on Number Ten Downing Street after a heated session of the Senedd’s Committee for the Scrutiny of the First Minister on Friday, March 28th.    


During the session, the First Minister revealed that she could not remember the name of the individual she had spoken with at number ten when discussing UK Labour’s cuts to welfare spending.


The First Minister also stated that she was ‘reserving judgement’ on said changes to welfare spending, despite the Secretary of State for Wales, Jo Stevens claiming that she had written to the UK Government in support of the cuts.


The First Minister wished to ‘reserve judgement’ until a Welsh impact assessment had been made. The Welsh Government have contacted the UK Government with this request over a week ago, and as of yet have received no reply.


In response to the session, Plaid Cymru MS and member of the committee, Llŷr Gruffydd said:


“Some of the First Minister's comments in committee this morning were quite frankly jaw-dropping. She said she was 'reserving judgement' before taking a stance on Labour's welfare changes, but the Secretary of State for Wales says that the First Minister has already supported the cuts.


"She went on to admit that the conversations she had with 'number ten' were not with the Prime Minister, nor any Ministers either. If her influence in Westminster only reaches a middle-ranking official, it's obvious that it is non-existent.


"It’s clear from today’s session that the First Minister has no direct influence - this so called 'partnership in power' just isn't delivering, and it highlighted how this Labour Welsh Government is unable to move the dial on devolution. It will always be party before country for Labour and the First Minister. It’s time for a fresh start –  a Plaid Cymru government would always be relentless in standing up for Wales."


- ENDS - 

Tuesday, April 1, 2025

THE END OF ATLANTICISM

Actually if you think about the apparent American disengagement from Europe - and we put aside the histrionics from the current incumbent in DC - one interpretation of current events could be that US involvement outside of the Americas ( as defined by the Monroe doctrine ) is actually the aberration and non involvement outside of the Americas is actually the normal.


If you examine relatively recent history then the USA spent more time avoiding foreign entanglements than seeking them - this was certainly the case between  1801 - 1896 ( a period which saw foreign interference in the Americas with French involvement in Mexico and the supply of arms, supplies and ships by the UK and others between 1861 and 1868 ). 


From 1912 until 1916 the USA stayed out the first world war, the 1916 Presidential election ( between Woodrow Wilson and Charles Evans Hughes ) took place against the background of the conflict raging in Europe and unrest in Mexico - with most Americans wanting to avoid any involvement. Woodrow Wilson won - using the slogans “He kept us out of the war” and “America First”. 


Wilson won the popular vote by 3.1% the lowest margin by any winning President between 1812 and 2004. The sinking of the Lusitania and other American merchant ships in the Atlantic and the return to unrestricted submarine warfare and the leaking of diplomatic cables which showed the German interference in Mexico and a promise to return Mexican territories that had been lost too the US in 1848 - finally led to the USA entering the war on the Allied side in April 1917.


For a President who had been elected to keep the USA out of the war, Wilson ended uo advocating hikes fourteen points, the independence of Poland and self determination for the peoples of Austria-Hungary and the Ottoman Empire, the freedom of the seas and the establishment of a League of Nations to play a key role in the post war world. 


Wilson established the USA as one of the big four Allied powers, but a combination of events, including a badly demobilisation of US troops, discontent over the rise of power and influence of the Federal government and  political divisions over the Versailles Treaty and the League of Nations, and Wilsons refusal to compromise and his illness combined to see the rejection of the Treaty and led, with election of a Republican President led to non participation in the League. 


President Roosevelt long associated with the new deal and his leadership of America during the Second World War, was re-elected for the third time in November 1940 - with a very public commitment to not getting involved in the Second World War. 


This position was particularly articulated during the run up to the November 1940 Presidential election. At the Democratic Concession, the Democratic platform adopted in Chicago, in 1940, stated: “We will not participate in foreign wars, and we will not send our army, naval or air forces to fight in foreign lands outside of the Americas, except in case of attack.”


And again on October 30, 1940, in Boston, Mass., the President said: “And while I am talking to you, mothers and fathers, I give you one more assurance. I have said this before, but I shall say it again, and again and again. Your boys are not going to be sent into any foreign wars. They are going into training to form a force so strong that, by its very existence, it will keep the threat of war far away from our shores. The purpose of our defense is defense.”


Once America was attacked everything changed and the American’s pulled together and worked and home and overseas to win both the military and production battles. Even Charles Lindbergh ( an arch isolationist ) supported the war and passed his aviation knowledge and skills to aviators in the South Pacific. 


Once the war in Europe and Asia was over ( at least for the Americans ) they rapidly disbanded the vast armed forces they had created, and converted many of their factories back to peace time production. One of the long term consequences of the new deal and the war years was a massive expansion of the Federal government and its agencies. 


In 1948 Presidential election between Truman and Dewey was an election that delivered a real change in American policy - not due to the result but more down to what followed.  Dewey was an ally of Senator Taft ( an isolationist ) - while Dewey and Taft had put their shoulders to the wheel when the USA was attacked, they did not necessarily seek a wider role in the world for the USA outside of the Americas once the war was over. 


The 1948 Presidential election set the scene for a real change in American policy and commitment, when Truman unexpectedly beat Dewey which was significant shock in itself. What followed rapidly was the Korean War, the Berlin Blockade, the marshal plan and the establishment of NATO ( to defend democracy in Western Europe ) along with a US commitment to role in the wider world followed.  


"It must be a policy of the United States," President Harry Truman announced, "to support free peoples who are resisting attempted subjugation by armed minorities or by outside pressure." This in essence became the Truman Doctrine - the idea that helping to defend democracy abroad was vital to US national interests.


It is easy to see this as the moment that leadership of the western world passed from an exhausted Britain to the United States. Perhaps more accurately this was the moment that revealed that it already happened. The USA previously traditionally isolationist and safely sheltered by two vast oceans, emerged from the Second World War as the actual rather than default leader of the free world. 


America projected its power around the globe, it spent the post-war decades remaking much of the world in its own image. The boomer generation grew up in a world that looked, sounded and behaved more like the United States than ever had previously as the USA became the western world's cultural, economic and military leader.


There were moments when US resolve weakened, the traumatic Vietnam war, which focused American interests away form Europe and the instability in the Middle East where protecting American oil interests was a prime motivator, still failed to dent the US commitments to a wider world. 


Yet for a few years after the end of the Vietnam war, there was a period of drift which ended the USA under President Reagan after 1980 rearmed and took a much are aggressive stance against the Soviet Union. After the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan the Cold War reignited and the deployment of the Cruise and Pershing missile systems alarmed Europeans and the Soviet Union upped the anti even more. 


The missiles like the the Soviet SS20’s were perceived as tactical strike weapons rather than weapons of deterrence. There were worries that the Americans and the Soviets could fight a limited nuclear war in Europe as tensions between the Americans and the Soviets got worse. 


In fairness, the Americans never quite realised how alarmed the Soviets were until informed by spies and defectors - armed with that knowledge Reagan moved to tone down the rhetoric, and started talking seriously to the Soviets about disarmament and within a few arms serious reductions in nuclear weapons followed. 


During the Clinton years there was more of a focus on the Pacific and some domestic option to expanding NATO eastwards with the addition of former Warsaw pact members - during various votes on the House - there was some vigorous opposition.One of the founders of a popular ice cream company funded posters opposing NATO expansion - the vote went through and some years later some of the same people actively backed Donald Trump in 2016. 


President Trump’s election in 2016 was perhaps a long time coming, but, not much changed save for the pullout from Afghanistan, and the warnings to NATO members about paying their fare share towards collective defence - this sentiment has also been uttered by previous Presidents both Democratic and Republican.


President Biden’s term of office briefly put the political rise of isolationism of hold in the wider world, President Trump’s victory in the 2024 Presidential election, on a campaign largely focused on pocketbook issues. This time round as far a foreign policy goes President Trump hit the ground running, pulling support from the Ukraine and starting to pull rug out from under Europe and reseting the relationship between the USA and Russia. 


Very public spats with Canada and Mexico and threats of tariffs have followed. Since President Trumps inauguration the US isolationists dislike of Europe has been very manifest. The isolationists have little interests beyond commercial benefits for the USA outside of the Americas and no love of any foreign entanglements in a modern day version of the Monroe Doctrine.


This can be interpreted as a reset of American foreign policy to its old pre 1941 position, something that understandably has the many of the Europeans on the mainland are very worried, as are the Anglo-Brit elite, as one of the main pillars of geo politics since 1948 - the American commitment to Europe is effectively gone - and any relationship ( special or otherwise ) with the US is history. And for the first time since October 1941 the Anglo-Brit elite are potentially well and truly on their own…

Sunday, March 30, 2025

PLAID CYMRU CALLS ON FIRST MINISTER TO PUBLISH LIZ KENDALL RESPONSE ‘WITHOUT DELAY’

Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iorwerth MS has written to the Labour First Minister of Wales, Eluned Morgan MS, urging her to publish the response she has received from the UK Government’s Secretary of State for Work & Pensions, Liz Kendall MP, ‘in full’ and ‘without delay.’

 

Speaking on BBC Wales’ Politics Wales programme this morning, the Labour MP for the Vale of Glamorgan, Kanishka Narayan MP, said:

 

“She’s written to the Work & Pensions Secretary. I understand that she’s received a response.”

 

The First Minister originally wrote to the UK Government on March 11, requesting an assessment of the impact of welfare reforms on Wales before any plans were published. However, on Wednesday, Eluned Morgan expressed her disappointment that she had not received a response ahead of the Chancellor’s Spring Statement.

 

Tensions escalated further later in the week when the First Minister refused to back changes to social security spending, despite the Secretary of State for Wales, Jo Stevens MP, claiming the First Minister was supportive of them.

 

In his letter to the First Minister of Wales, the leader of Plaid Cymru, Rhun ap Iorwerth MS, said:

 

“Annwyl Brif Weinidog

 

“On BBC Wales’ Politics Wales programme this morning, Labour’s Kanishka Narayan MP suggested that you have received a response from the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, Liz Kendall MP, to your original letter regarding the impact of Welfare reforms on Wales.

 

“Given the significant consequences these reforms will have on the people of Wales I urge you to publish the response in full, without delay.

 

“Yn gywir,

 

“Rhun ap Iorwerth MS, Leader of Plaid Cymru”


 - END -

 

Editor’s notes:


LABOUR ‘DELETE’ CALL TO TACKLE CHILD POVERTY

Welsh Government statistics published this week show that child poverty has risen by 2% to 31% in Wales, the highest rise of all UK nations. However, ahead of a Plaid Cymru debate in the Senedd on April 2nd 2025, where they will call on the Welsh Government to implement a child payment, the Labour Welsh Government have deleted the calls in their amendment to the original motion.

 

Instead, the Welsh Government have focused once again on a ‘commitment…to engage with the Scottish Government to better understand the Scottish Child Payment and how it operates’ despite this having been a matter of discussion for a number of years in Wales.

 

Plaid Cymru Social Justice spokesperson Sioned Williams has criticised the Government’s decision to delete the call, accusing Labour of ‘stalling’ and ‘refusing to take direct action on tackling child poverty’ calling it out as a ‘national stain’.

 

This comes in the same week as the UK Labour Government announcement to cut almost £5 billion in welfare spending, a decision that will push a further 50,000 children into poverty across England and Wales.

 

Plaid Cymru announced a direct child payment to tackle child poverty in their Spring Conference in Llandudno last week. The payment will ‘boost support by putting money in the pockets of those struggling’.

 

A similar scheme in Scotland has had a transformative impact on child poverty, helping Scotland become the only nation in the UK where child poverty levels are expected to decrease.

 

Plaid Cymru’s spokesperson on Social Justice, Sioned Williams MS, said:

 

“Labour are failing our children and young people as the Government’s own figures released this week show.  Not only is child poverty growing in Wales, but it is growing at the fastest rate of all UK nations. This is the result of 25 years of Labour inaction in getting to grips with the national stain that is child poverty.

 

“Their choice to ‘delete’ Plaid Cymru’s calls to implement a child payment is just another example of their refusal to take direct action on tackling child poverty. How long will Labour be content to talk around the issue when the actions needed are known and proven.

 

“Plaid Cymru has real, ambitious, tangible solutions to tackle child poverty. In Government we will take action to support the 31% of children that are currently growing up in poverty, living in households which are struggling to make ends meet, by implementing a child payment.

 

“While Labour are happy to stall, Plaid Cymru will act. While Labour chooses to cut almost £5 billion in support to the most vulnerable, Plaid Cymru look to boost support by putting money in the pockets of those struggling. While Labour are happy continuing with the status quo, Plaid Cymru offer a fresh start.”

 

- ENDS - 

Monday, March 24, 2025

LABOUR’S AUSTERITY WILL INCREASE POVERTY

Ben Lake MP outlines alternative fiscal options instead of wide-ranging cuts


Plaid Cymru’s Treasury spokesperson, Ben Lake MP, has written to Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves ahead of the 2025 Spring Statement, urging the UK Government to reconsider planned spending cuts and ensure Wales receives fair funding.


The Spring Statement, set to be delivered in the House of Commons on Wednesday, 26 March, will provide an update on the UK economy, public finances, and the Government’s economic objectives. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) will publish its latest economic and fiscal forecast alongside the statement, with expectations that the UK’s economic outlook will be downgraded.


Ben Lake MP has raised concerns that the UK Government’s response to this downturn – cutting public spending – will disproportionately impact the most vulnerable communities in Wales, exacerbating poverty and inequality.


He has also highlighted the potential financial implications for Wales of England-only decisions, such as the abolition of NHS England, which could reduce the funds allocated to Wales through the Barnett Formula.

 

In his letter, Ben Lake MP proposes several alternatives to the Chancellor’s current fiscal approach. These include:


  • Charging National Insurance on limited liability partnerships, such as large corporate law firms;
  • Closing tax loopholes that allow overseas-based online vendors to avoid VAT;
  • Ending subsidies for oil and gas companies.

 

The Plaid Cymru MP also calls on the Chancellor to address the longstanding funding disparities faced by Wales. He notes that Northern Ireland’s Barnett Formula allocation is 9% higher than that of Wales, leaving Welsh public services underfunded. 


In his letter, Ben Lake MP writes:


“The Office for Budget Responsibility is widely expected to downgrade the performance of the UK economy, and I am concerned that the Government’s response to cut public spending will harm the most vulnerable in Wales by increasing poverty and exacerbating inequality.


“Spending decisions which apply to England only, such as the decision to abolish NHS England, will nevertheless have implications for Wales by potentially reducing the amount received through the Barnett Formula.


“I note that several practical alternatives have been proposed to raise additional revenue for the UK Government, and I would be grateful to understand whether they have been considered in advance of the Spring Statement. It has been estimated that charging National Insurance on limited liability partnerships such as large corporate law firms, for example, or closing loopholes allowing overseas-based online vendors to avoid paying VAT, in addition to cutting the subsides for oil and gas companies could raise billions to help meet the Government’s current fiscal rules without the need for further austerity.


“The Spring Statement is also an opportunity to give Wales financial parity with the devolved nations so that the Welsh Government has the economic levers to grow the economy and improve livelihoods. For instance, Northern Ireland’s Barnett Formula needs-based funding is 9% higher than Wales’s which means Welsh public services such as health and housing are missing out on additional funding. Wales also lacks the ability to invest in infrastructure such as schools, hospitals and transport projects given that the Welsh Government has an annual capital borrowing limit of £150 million compared to the Scottish Government’s £450 million. I would be grateful to know whether the UK Government will look to address these inequalities as part of its ongoing negotiations with the Welsh Government on the Welsh Government Fiscal Framework.


“I urge you to use this Spring Statement to fulfil the UK Government’s promise of not returning to a policy of austerity, and to introduce fair funding and investment powers for Wales.”


- END -

Saturday, March 22, 2025

SUPPORTING OUR SMALL BUSINESSES

A Plaid Cymru government would cut taxes for small, independent Welsh businesses.


Plaid Cymru’s economy spokesperson Luke Fletcher is expected to outline his party’s plans during his Spring Conference speech.


In his speech, Mr Fletcher is expected to highlight the struggles that independent businesses face in Wales, saying that there are “countless examples the length and breadth of Wales where the full potential of our domestic businesses is going unfulfilled”, with “too many independent shops, pubs, cafés and restaurants having to close” which has led to the decline of town centres.


The Plaid Cymru Economy spokesperson will say that Wales needs to change how it taxes our town centre businesses to realise the potential of town centres and independent businesses.


He will outline Plaid Cymru’s plans to use the business rate multiplier to “reduce rates for independent businesses in retail or hospitality”.


According to Mr Fletcher, the policy would be cost-neutral, as a Plaid Cymru-led Government in 2026 would “look at how we charge rates so that those who can afford to pay more, contribute more”.


In his speech to the Plaid Cymru Spring Conference, Plaid Cymru Economy Spokesperson, Luke Fletcher MS will say,


“Our high streets provide a lens on the challenges facing Welsh businesses – challenges that Labour in Wales has failed to address or made actively worse over a quarter of a century in power.


“It’s a story we’re all too familiar with, isn’t it? On high streets across Wales there are empty buildings and shuttered shop fronts where thriving local businesses should be. Pubs, cafés and restaurants, all struggling with a cost-of-doing business crisis – a crisis made worse by sky-high taxes on businesses and Labour’s scrapping of business rates relief.


“An independent store owner on the high street in Aberystwyth pays nearly ten times more than a major chain on the town’s outskirts, and significantly more than would an equivalent business in England. In Bridgend, a locally owned and managed coffee shop and bakery pays the same level of non-domestic rates as its multinational competitors. Instead of being able to grow and develop as a business, investing locally in the supply chain, training and jobs, it is a business simply looking to survive.


“There are countless examples the length and breadth of Wales of businesses’ full potential going unfulfilled – too many of what should be successful businesses going to the wall. And the result? Town centres in decline, instead of on the up.


“I am proud that more and more businesses are looking to Plaid Cymru for the solution. And I am even more proud that we are able to offer one.


“If we want our town centres to thrive, then we need to change how we tax the businesses on our high streets, to better support the kinds of successful Welsh-owned shops, cafés, bars and restaurants we all go to our town centres for.


“There’s a solution that is well within our grasp.


“Through varying the multiplier, we have the power to reduce rates for independent businesses in retail, leisure and hospitality. It really is that simple. And by looking at how we charge rates so that those who can afford to pay contribute more, it would also be cost-neutral.


Mr Fletcher will also say,


“In the coming weeks, I will formally be launching ‘Making Wales Work: Plaid Cymru’s new economic plan’. I am proud of the amount of hard work that has gone into this plan, and the new and ambitious vision for the Welsh economy that it represents.


“That vision and that ambition extends from our seabed to our high streets, and covers everywhere in between.


“Our plan will see capital built, retained and recycling in our communities, instead of it leaking – and in some cases flooding – out of Wales. It will grow and sustain Welsh-owned businesses, delivering good jobs, reviving our town centres, and boosting living standards.


“I am clearer now than ever that Wales needs a Government with real vision and with fire in its belly.


“Wales needs a Plaid Cymru Government – and next year we will have an historic opportunity to deliver one.“


ENDS -