The latest independent polling suggests Plaid Cymru has taken the lead in the upcoming by-election for the Senedd constituency of Caerphilly.
A major summer poll by Find Out Now found that Labour and the Conservatives had slumped, with support switching to Plaid Cymru and Reform.
Applying the standard Uniform National Swing (UNS) calculation to the poll projects that the result in the Caerphilly constituency would see Plaid on top with 35%, ahead of Reform on 29% and Labour trailing in third on 24%.
Three major companies – members of the industry-standard British Polling Council - have conducted Senedd polls in Wales over the summer. All the polls; by YouGov for ITV, More in Common for Sky News, as well as Find Out Now, show Plaid leading in Caerphilly by the UNS calculation.
Plaid Cymru’s Rhun ap Iorwerth said,
“These polls echo what we’re hearing from Caerphilly. People are fed up of being taken for granted by Labour and the Tories.
“They know that Plaid’s Lindsay Whittle was a close second in the General Election last July, and are switching to support Plaid Cymru for this by-election.
“A large majority of people in Caerphilly don’t want Reform and their Trump-style brand of divisive politics. Labour are clearly trailing, so voters are turning to Plaid Cymru to send a message that Caerphilly and Wales won’t be taken for granted.”
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